Match Info
Queensland Premier League - Round 17Date: 4 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: John Frederick Park (Redlands)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | FQTV |
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Capalaba |
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St. George Willawong |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.50 |
3.70 |
1.78 |
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 |
3.35 |
3.8 |
1.82 |
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 |
3.38 |
4.15 |
1.87 |
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 |
3.4 |
4.22 |
1.86 |
 Watch |
 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
1.82 |
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 |
3.54 |
3.95 |
1.88 |
Watch |
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2.9 |
3.5 |
2.07 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(2.9) |
3.92 ↑
(3.5) |
1.87 ↓
(2.07) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Capalaba
27.5% | Draw
23.4% | St. George Willawong
49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Capalaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)St. George Willawong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. George Willawong's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capalaba than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Capalaba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. George Willawong than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. George Willawong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Capalaba - St. George Willawong Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 66', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).Capalaba is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).St. George Willawong has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).St. George Willawong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Capalaba has had a series of away games. St. George Willawong could have a small edge in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Capalaba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).Including home match between the teams, Capalaba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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