Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: Premier League - Round 30

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Athlone Stadium (Cape Town)


	Cape Town Spurs		Kaizer Chiefs

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2
	3.5	3.3	2.05
	3.75	3.23	2.1
	3.58	3.26	2.15
	3.5	3.2	2
	3.62	3.2	2.04
	3.65	3.2	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (4.15)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	2.05 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cape Town Spurs
26%

Draw
28.7%

Kaizer Chiefs
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

28.6%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

29.9%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cape Town Spurs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Kaizer Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cape Town Spurs than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaizer Chiefs than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaizer Chiefs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Cape Town Spurs - Kaizer Chiefs Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kaizer Chiefs will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kaizer Chiefs: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Boshoff N. (G) 36. Nkwali S. 42. Gumede T. 24. Dortley R. 50. Maphathe K. 33. Butsaka C. 48. Mokeke T. 14. Morton M. 29. Cupido A. 22. Moosa T. 17. Velebayi A.	44. Bvuma B. (G) 3. Mdantsane M. 25. Msimango S. G. 24. Ditlhokwe T. 23. Hlanti S. 6. Sithebe S. 5. Mthethwa S. 29. Jansen D. 42. Shabalala M. 21. Saile C. 7. Chivaviro R.
Substitutes
2. Allie N. 38. Braithwaite R. 1. Dlamini Z. (G) 41. Jakalashe A. 45. Maduna S. 31. Mfecane K. 20. Radiopane B. 11. Ryan C. 3. Stander C.	17. Castillo E. 36. Duba W. 32. Khune I. (G) 4. Kwinika Z. 8. Maart Y. 35. McCarthy A. 27. Ngcobo N. 33. Radebe S. 28. Vilakazi M.
Coaches
Middendorp E.	Johnson C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Mokeke T. 🟨,
13', Ditlhokwe T. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Cupido A. ⚽, Butsaka C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mthethwa S. ↓, Maart Y. ↑,
46', Chivaviro R. ↓, Duba W. ↑,
46', Mdantsane M. ↓, Vilakazi M. ↑,
58', Duba W. 🟨,
58', Boshoff N. 🟨,
68', Velebayi A. ↓, Ryan C. ↑,
70', Hlanti S. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
70', Saile C. ↓, Radebe S. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Morton M. ⚽,
76', Cupido A. ↓, Maduna S. ↑,
85', Moosa T. 🟨,
88', Butsaka C. ↓, Radiopane B. ↑,
88', Mokeke T. ↓, Allie N. ↑,
89', Moosa T. ↓, Mfecane K. ↑,
90+3', Morton M. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship and 8).

Cape Town Spurs is Relegated to Motsepe Foundation Championship

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cape Town Spurs could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kaizer Chiefs have a series of home games.

Kaizer Chiefs will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cape Town Spurs won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cape Town Spurs
South African Premier Soccer League
18.05.24	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Cape Town Spurs	1:1 ✺
10.05.24	Supersport United - Cape Town Spurs	0:0 ✺
07.05.24	Royal AM - Cape Town Spurs	0:1 ✺
30.04.24	Cape Town Spurs - Polokwane City	0:1 ✺
26.04.24	Cape Town Spurs - Richards Bay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TTWLW
- Kaizer Chiefs
South African Premier Soccer League
18.05.24	Kaizer Chiefs - Polokwane City	0:0 ✺
12.05.24	AmaZulu - Kaizer Chiefs	1:1 ✺
07.05.24	Kaizer Chiefs - TS Galaxy	2:2 ✺
02.05.24	Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:5 ✺
27.04.24	Kaizer Chiefs - Supersport United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
08.11.23	Kaizer Chiefs - Cape Town Spurs	3:2

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