The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Kaizer Chiefs 21.5%
Draw 29.6%
Mamelodi Sundowns 48.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22%
28.8%
49.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.5%
28.2%
50.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kaizer Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Kaizer Chiefs aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Petersen B. (C) 4. Kwinika Z. 42. Moloisane T. 84. Inacio Miguel 2. Monyane T. 5. Mthethwa S. 6. Maboe L. 13. Mmodi P. 8. Ndlovu S. 11. Baartman L. 70. Phili L.
30. Williams R. (C) 25. Mudau K. 20. Kekana G. 37. Johannes K. 6. Modiba A. 15. Aubaas B. J. 29. van Wyk A. 21. Mkhulise S. 11. Allende M. 17. Matthews T. 12. Leon B.
Substitutes
22. Bitegeko A. 23. Chislett E. 47. Duba W. 16. Leaner R. (G) 12. Ngcobo N. 7. Shabalala M. 18. Solomons D. 17. Velebayi A. 28. Vilakazi M.
31. Goss R. (G) 44. Kekana G. 5. Lunga D. 33. Mailula C. 46. Mokoena B. 35. Mothiba L. 40. Mvala M. 38. Ndlovu S. 18. Zwane T.
Coaches
Da Cruz F.
Cardoso M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Leon B. 🟨,
26', Inacio Miguel 🟨,
34', Moloisane T. 🟨,
45', Aubaas B. J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 0, Phili L. ⚽, Mthethwa S. (A),
65', Phili L. 🟨,
67', Baartman L. ↓, Duba W. ↑,
67', Phili L. ↓, Chislett E. ↑,
70', van Wyk A. ↓, Ndlovu S. ↑,
70', Mkhulise S. ↓, Mokoena B. ↑,
71', Kwinika Z. 🟨,
71', Matthews T. 🟨,
74', Matthews T. ↓, Mailula C. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Mailula C. ⚽, Kekana G. (A),
82', Maboe L. ↓, Bitegeko A. ↑,
88', Mokoena B. 🟨,
90', Modiba A. ↓, Lunga D. ↑,
90', Leon B. ↓, Mothiba L. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaizer Chiefs won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Kaizer Chiefs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kaizer Chiefs won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:36. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kaizer Chiefs won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.8:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Mamelodi Sundowns
9
7
2
0
23:8
15
23
5
Kaizer Chiefs
8
3
5
0
13:8
5
14
Last Results with these Odds
Mamelodi Sundowns - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.2%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.