Match Info
Brasiliense - Round 8Date: 21 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Juscelino Kubitschek (Paranoá)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Brazil | TV Record |
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 |
|
 |
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Capital CF Ltda |
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Brasiliense |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.58 |
2.78 |
2.78 |
|
 |
2.5 |
2.79 |
2.98 |
Watch |
 |
2.5 |
2.63 |
2.9 |
|
 |
2.57 |
2.76 |
3.15 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.54 ↓ (2.98) |
2.74 ↓ (3.08) |
2.95 ↑ (2.31) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Capital CF Ltda 35.9% | Draw 33.2% | Brasiliense 30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Capital CF Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Capital CF Ltda's performance.Brasiliense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brasiliense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Capital CF Ltda that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasiliense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Capital CF Ltda - Brasiliense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals))In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Capital won 3.In recent matches, Capital has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Brasiliense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Capital won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 0.9:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Capital won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;