Match Info
Serie D - Round 7Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Capital CF Ltda |
|
Ceilândia |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.6 |
3.2 |
5.7 |
|
 |
1.59 |
3.29 |
5.77 |
|
 |
1.61 |
3.33 |
5.99 |
 Watch |
 |
1.65 |
2.9 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.59 |
3.22 |
6.17 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.82) |
3.19 ↑
(2.97) |
5.83 ↑
(4.52) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Capital CF Ltda
56.2% | Draw
28.3% | Ceilândia
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Capital CF Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Capital CF Ltda's performance.Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)Capital CF Ltda - Ceilândia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Yann Rolim ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, Araujo D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 87', 2 - 1, Yann Rolim ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Capital won 3.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. In this match, Capital is a strong favorite.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Capital won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.7:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Capital won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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