Match Info

BRAZIL: Brasiliense - Round 8

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Sobradinho		Legião

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.1	5.6
	1.49	3.85	5.6
	1.5	4.06	5.71	Watch
	1.45	4.1	6.06
	1.48	4.1	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.44)	4.04 ↓ (4.2)	5.71 ↓ (6.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sobradinho
61.5%

Draw
22.5%

Legião
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

21.7%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

14.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sobradinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Legião has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sobradinho than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sobradinho that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legião than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legião could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sobradinho - Legião Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, Pipico ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Sobradinho is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Legião has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sobradinho is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sobradinho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Including matches at home between the teams Sobradinho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sobradinho EC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
16.02.25	Sobradinho - Brasiliense	0:0 ✺
12.02.25	Samambaia - Sobradinho	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Real Brasilia - Sobradinho	1:3 ✺
01.02.25	Sobradinho - Capital CF Ltda	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Ceilândia - Sobradinho	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLWTL
- Legião FC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
16.02.25	Legião - Ceilandense	1:1 ✺
13.02.25	Legião - Ceilândia	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Capital CF Ltda - Legião	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Legião - Samambaia	0:4 ✺
30.01.25	Brasiliense - Legião	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Brasiliense 2
26.10.24	Sobradinho - Legião	3:1

Sobradinho - Legião: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide