Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finalsDate: 20 June 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo (Aparecida de Goiânia)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Aparecidense |
|
Capital CF Ltda |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.55 |
2.85 |
2.60 |
|
 |
2.62 |
2.82 |
2.68 |
|
 |
2.72 |
3.05 |
2.74 |
|
 |
2.73 |
2.78 |
2.78 |
 Watch |
 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
|
 |
2.83 |
2.93 |
2.67 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.45) |
2.87 ↓
(3) |
2.68 ↓
(2.8) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Aparecidense
34.1% | Draw
31.8% | Capital CF Ltda
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Capital CF Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (-2.5%)Aparecidense - Capital CF Ltda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Carlos Baje ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 72', 1 - 1, Lucas Oliveira ⚽,
- 86', (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg.Aparecidense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Capital is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aparecidense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).Including home match between the teams, Aparecidense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Aparecidense - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 26.07.25 | Aparecidense - Capital CF Ltda | 2:1 | | 19.04.25 | Capital CF Ltda - Aparecidense | 0:1 |
|
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
