Match Info

BRAZIL: Tocantinense - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Capital FC		Araguaína

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.7	2.65
	2.41	2.95	2.85
	2.37	3.04	2.97
	2.29	3.08	2.96
	2.41	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.5)	2.94 ↓ (3.1)	2.86 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Capital FC
37.4%

Draw
30.8%

Araguaína
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.7%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

27.1%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capital FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Araguaína has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capital FC than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araguaína than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Capital FC - Araguaína Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Paulo M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 2, Kevin ⚽,
87', 0 - 3, Paulo M. ⚽,
89', Vitinho 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tocantinense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tocantinense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Capital FC is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Araguaína is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Capital FC have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Capital FC to win the game is with odds 2.58.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Capital FC won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Capital FC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capital FC
Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
18.03.25	Araguaína - Capital FC	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Capital FC - Araguaína	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Capital FC - Tocantinópolis	2:3 ✺
16.02.25	Capital FC - Batalhão	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Capital FC - Tocantins	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWW
- Araguaína Futebol e Regatas
Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
18.03.25	Araguaína - Capital FC	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Capital FC - Araguaína	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Araguaína - Tocantinópolis	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	União Carmolandense - Araguaína	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Araguaína - Tocantins	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
18.03.25	Araguaína - Capital FC	1:2
15.03.25	Capital FC - Araguaína	1:0
30.01.24	Araguaína - Capital FC	1:2

Capital FC - Araguaína: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide