Match Info

Tocantinense - Play Offs - Final

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	União Carmolandense		Araguaína

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.35	2.55	2.44
	3.33	2.58	2.5	Watch
	3.43	2.49	2.47
	3.35	2.55	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.54)	2.67 ↓ (3.2)	2.37 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Carmolandense
27.4%

Draw
34.1%

Araguaína
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28.2%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

27.4%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Carmolandense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União Carmolandense's form might have worsened.

Araguaína has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Carmolandense than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União Carmolandense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araguaína than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

União Carmolandense - Araguaína Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - União Carmolandense (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. União Carmolandense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Paulo M. (Pen),
1, Marcio (Pen),
2, Gabriel (Pen),
2, Pantera D. (Pen),
3, Tiburcio (Pen),
3, Wanderson (Pen),
4, Rivaldo (Pen),
4, Afonso F. (Pen),
5, William (Pen),
5, Morais B. (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tocantinense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches União Carmolandense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Araguaína is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Araguaína could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Araguaína is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches União Carmolandense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams União Carmolandense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Carmolandense
Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
26.03.25	Tocantinópolis - União Carmolandense	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	União Carmolandense - Tocantinópolis	1:0 ✺
12.03.25	Tocantinópolis - União Carmolandense	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	União Carmolandense - Tocantins	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.03.25	Maringá - União Carmolandense	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLWL
- Araguaína Futebol e Regatas
Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
23.03.25	Capital FC - Araguaína	0:3 ✺
18.03.25	Araguaína - Capital FC	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Capital FC - Araguaína	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Araguaína - Tocantinópolis	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	União Carmolandense - Araguaína	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
01.03.25	União Carmolandense - Araguaína	2:0
16.03.24	Araguaína - União Carmolandense	1:1
24.02.24	União Carmolandense - Araguaína	1:0

União Carmolandense - Araguaína: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide