The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Capivariano U20 26.6%
Draw 27.1%
Guarani U20 46.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
27.9%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
28.9%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Capivariano U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Capivariano U20's form might have worsened.
Guarani U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guarani U20's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capivariano U20 than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Capivariano U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani U20 than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guarani U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Guarani U20 is Qualified for Paulista U20 (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Capivariano U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Capivariano U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).