Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 7

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday


	Capivariano U20		Mauá U20

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	2.88
	2.11	3.7	2.91	Watch
	2.09	3.56	2.94
	1.68	3.4	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2)	3.57 ↑ (3.45)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Capivariano U20
45.5%

Draw
25.3%

Mauá U20
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

25.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capivariano U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Mauá U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capivariano U20 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mauá U20 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Capivariano U20 - Mauá U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
74', 🟥,

Preview

Capivariano U20 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mauá U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Capivariano U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capivariano U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
30.05.25	Capivariano U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20	4:3 ✺
24.05.25	São Paulo U20 - Capivariano U20	3:1 ✺
16.05.25	Capivariano U20 - XV de Jaú U20	1:0 ✺
09.05.25	CA Bandeirante U20 - Capivariano U20	0:3 ✺
02.05.25	Capivariano U20 - Comercial Tietê U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWW
- Mauá FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
30.05.25	Mauá U20 - Guaratinguetá U20	1:0 ✺
23.05.25	Portuguesa Santista U20 - Mauá U20	2:0 ✺
16.05.25	Mauá U20 - CA Bandeirante U20	2:2 ✺
09.05.25	Mauá U20 - Comercial Tietê U20	4:1 ✺
02.05.25	Osasco Sporting U20 - Mauá U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTWL

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