Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Carabanchel		Atlético Madrid C

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	3.25	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.15
	3.36	3.05	2.1
	3.33	3	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.65)	3.06 ↓ (3.55)	2.13 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carabanchel
27.6%

Draw
29.7%

Atlético Madrid C
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

25.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

24.9%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Atlético Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid C might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid C than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid C could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carabanchel - Atlético Madrid C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Vinatea S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Gutierrez H. ⚽,
65', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Carabanchel is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlético C is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Atlético C is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carabanchel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.01.26	Carabanchel - Siello	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Carabanchel - Leganés B	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Trival Valderas - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Carabanchel - Torrejón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTLLL
- Atlético Madrid C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.01.26	Móstoles URJC - Atlético Madrid C	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Atlético Madrid C - San Sebastian Reyes B	5:1 ✺
21.12.25	Racing Madrid - Atlético Madrid C	2:6 ✺
14.12.25	Atlético Madrid C - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Unión Adarve - Atlético Madrid C	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.09.25	Atlético Madrid C - Carabanchel	3:1

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