Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Carabanchel		Siello

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.05	3.15
	2.14	3.18	3.33	Watch
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.25	3.04	3.06
	2.22	3	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.93)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)	3.18 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carabanchel
41.8%

Draw
29.7%

Siello
28.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.6%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.5%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carabanchel's form might have worsened.

Siello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carabanchel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siello than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Carabanchel - Siello Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Carabanchel has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Siello is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Carabanchel could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Siello	8	1	1	6	7:24	-17	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.01.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Carabanchel - Leganés B	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Trival Valderas - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Carabanchel - Torrejón	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Parla - Carabanchel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL
- Siello FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.01.26	Siello - Móstoles URJC	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	San Sebastian Reyes B - Siello	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Siello - Racing Madrid	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Las Rozas - Siello	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Siello - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLW

Carabanchel - Siello