Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 17Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday
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Carabanchel |
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Siello |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.12 |
3.05 |
3.15 |
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 |
2.14 |
3.18 |
3.33 |
Watch |
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2.1 |
3 |
3.2 |
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 |
2.25 |
3.04 |
3.06 |
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 |
2.22 |
3 |
3.14 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↑ (1.93) |
3.05 ↓ (3.3) |
3.18 ↓ (3.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Carabanchel 41.8% | Draw 29.7% | Siello 28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carabanchel's form might have worsened.Siello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carabanchel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siello than the current prediction. (-4.2%)Carabanchel - Siello Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).Carabanchel has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).Siello is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). Carabanchel could have a small edge in this match. Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 17 | Siello | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;