Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Trival Valderas		Carabanchel

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.88
	2.29	3.05	3.15
	2.31	3.04	3.07
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.25	2.99	3.11
	2.25	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.22)	3 ↓ (3.25)	3.07 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trival Valderas
39.9%

Draw
30.4%

Carabanchel
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.6%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trival Valderas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Trival Valderas - Carabanchel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Turegano J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trival Valderas won 2.

Recent performances by Trival Valderas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Carabanchel has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Carabanchel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Trival Valderas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Trival Valderas won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.12.25	Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Trival Valderas - San Sebastian Reyes B	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Racing Madrid - Trival Valderas	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Trival Valderas - Las Rozas	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Unión Adarve - Trival Valderas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTWLW
- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.12.25	Carabanchel - Torrejón	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Parla - Carabanchel	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Carabanchel - Alcorcón B	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	México - Carabanchel	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Carabanchel - Tres Cantos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.01.25	Trival Valderas - Carabanchel	1:1
08.09.24	Carabanchel - Trival Valderas	0:1
23.02.22	Trival Valderas - Carabanchel	3:3
05.09.21	Carabanchel - Trival Valderas	1:2
14.02.21	Trival Valderas - Carabanchel	0:0
15.11.20	Carabanchel - Trival Valderas	1:1
10.11.19	Trival Valderas - Carabanchel	0:0

Trival Valderas - Carabanchel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide