Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Carabanchel		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.98	2.78
	2.54	2.9	2.88
	2.58	3.02	2.76	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.46	2.88	2.79
	2.5	2.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.24)	2.91 ↓ (3)	2.81 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carabanchel
36.4%

Draw
31.3%

Unión Adarve
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

30.1%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carabanchel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Carabanchel - Unión Adarve Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Carabanchel could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Carabanchel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Union Adarve	5	1	3	1	6:8	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
25.01.26	Villaverde San Andrés - Carabanchel	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Carabanchel - Atlético Madrid C	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Carabanchel - Siello	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Carabanchel - Leganés B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTTTL
- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
25.01.26	Unión Adarve - Móstoles URJC	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Unión Adarve	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Racing Madrid - Unión Adarve	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Unión Adarve - Las Rozas	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Galapagar - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.09.25	Unión Adarve - Carabanchel	3:3
22.12.19	Carabanchel - Unión Adarve	2:0

Carabanchel - Unión Adarve: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide