The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caracas 42.5%
Draw 29.4%
Portuguesa Acarígua 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
29.9%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
29.3%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Portuguesa Acarígua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Caracas - Portuguesa Acarígua Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Benitez F. (G) 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 6. Vaquer N. 13. Yendis J. 15. Larotonda C. 8. Gudino I. 33. Correa W. 39. Villarreal A. 22. Figueroa A. 27. Gonzalez S.
22. Reyes J. (C) 17. Zuniga K. 27. Moreno Quero L. 3. Aguirre G. 6. Trujillo A. 13. Navas Barrera V. H. 18. Montana C. 26. Yepez A. 23. Polo A. 14. Garcia H. 99. Martinez J.
Substitutes
9. De Santis J. 30. Herrera A. 35. Lezama R. 23. Lira E. (G) 41. Lopez A. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 11. Marquez M. 3. Pagano L. 4. Quintero J. 17. Reinoso L. 32. Uribe J. 5. Vegas M.
33. Acuna M. 2. Benitez G. 19. Lopez O. 24. Lovazzano L. 21. Mendoza R. 29. Pena W. 20. Perez J. 1. Rodriguez S. (G) 7. Rojas R. 8. Toussaint R. 4. Trejo N. 66. Urpin C.
Coaches
Sanvicente N.
Gonzalez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Moreno Quero L. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Larotonda C. ⚽,
37', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
45+3', Yendis J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Garcia H. ↓, Lopez O. ↑,
54', Gonzalez S. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
54', Correa W. ↓, Vegas M. ↑,
55', Figueroa A. ↓, Marquez M. ↑,
61', Martinez J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
61', Polo A. ↓, Rojas R. ↑,
63', Uribe J. 🟨,
66', Yepez A. ↓, Lovazzano L. ↑,
69', Zuniga K. 🟨,
73', Villarreal A. ↓, De Santis J. ↑,
73', Trujillo A. ↓, Benitez G. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Perez J. ⚽, Lopez O. (A),
82', Larotonda C. ↓, Reinoso L. ↑,
90+1', Reinoso L. 🟨,
90+1', Aguirre G. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 3.
Caracas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Portuguesa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Portuguesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).