The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portuguesa Acarígua 29.3%
Draw 30%
Carabobo 40.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.9%
28.5%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
28.6%
39.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa Acarígua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Portuguesa Acarígua - Carabobo Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Portuguesa will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Carabobo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Reyes J. (C) 17. Zuniga K. 33. Acuna M. 3. Aguirre G. 2. Benitez G. 13. Navas Barrera V. H. 24. Lovazzano L. 26. Yepez A. 19. Lopez O. 9. Canete J. 7. Rojas R.
1. Silva M. (G) 21. Gonzalez A. (C) 32. Neira E. 4. Aponte L. 8. Perez J. 14. Berios J. 15. Cova M. 5. Castillo E. 11. Machis D. 9. Castillo B. 24. Ramirez E.
Substitutes
14. Garcia H. 21. Mendoza R. 18. Montana C. 27. Moreno Quero L. 70. Morillo R. 29. Pena W. 20. Perez J. 23. Polo A. 1. Rodriguez S. (G) 5. Soto J. 6. Trujillo A. 66. Urpin C.
20. Arzu E. 6. Bahachille A. 3. Fuentes J. 2. Guaramato M. 16. Lopez F. 19. Martinez L. 30. Mendoza S. 23. Meza D. 26. Nunez M. 17. Oliveros F. 10. Orozco Y. 12. Roa K. (G)
Coaches
Gonzalez L.
Farias D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Ramirez E. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
35', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
45', Aguirre G. 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 2, Perez J. ⚽, Cova M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Navas Barrera V. H. ↓, Polo A. ↑,
58', Yepez A. ↓, Montana C. ↑,
59', Zuniga K. 🟨,
65', Aguirre G. 🟨,
67', Rojas R. ↓, Moreno Quero L. ↑,
67', Benitez G. ↓, Trujillo A. ↑,
70', Castillo B. 🟨,
73', Perez J. ↓, Oliveros F. ↑,
73', Machis D. ↓, Orozco Y. ↑,
75', Canete J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
75', Neira E. 🟨,
76', 1 - 2, Moreno Quero L. ⚽,
78', Trujillo A. 🟨,
81', Castillo B. 🟨,
83', Berios J. ↓, Bahachille A. ↑,
90+4', Cova M. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
90+4', Neira E. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 3, Orozco Y. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 1.
Portuguesa has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Carabobo is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Carabobo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Carabobo for this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Portuguesa has recorded 2 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:13 (averaging 0.4:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Portuguesa against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 0.7:0.6 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Carabobo - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.59%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Reyes J. (C) 
Aguirre G. 
Benitez G. 
Berios J. 
Arzu E. 
