Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de la UCV (Caracas)


	Caracas		Carabobo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.00	3.20	1.78
	4.2	3.2	1.8
	4.26	3.86	1.78
	4.65	3.45	1.79	Watch
	4.3	3.25	1.8
	4.2	3.36	1.88	Watch
	4.3	3.4	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (3.4)	3.39 ↑ (3)	1.81 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caracas
21.6%

Draw
27.3%

Carabobo
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

29.7%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carabobo's recent form is better than expected.

Caracas - Carabobo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Benitez F. (G) 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 6. Vaquer N. 13. Yendis J. 10. Covea M. 8. Gudino I. 15. Larotonda C. 7. Robert Hernandez 39. Villarreal A. 9. De Santis J.	1. Silva M. (G) 13. Duran J. 32. Neira E. 4. Aponte L. (C) 8. Perez J. 26. Nunez M. 5. Castillo E. 14. Berios J. 10. Orozco Y. 11. Machis D. 20. Arzu E.
Substitutes
33. Correa W. 22. Figueroa A. 27. Gonzalez S. 30. Herrera A. 35. Lezama R. 23. Lira E. (G) 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 3. Pagano L. 4. Quintero J. 17. Reinoso L. 5. Vegas M.	6. Bahachille A. 28. Bilbao J. 15. Cova M. 3. Fuentes J. 22. Gil D. (G) 21. Gonzalez A. 2. Guaramato M. 19. Martinez L. 30. Mendoza S. 23. Meza D. 17. Oliveros F.
Coaches
Melendez H.	Farias D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', De Santis J. 🟨,
19', Villarreal A. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Robert Hernandez ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Machis D. ⚽, Berios J. (A),
45', Aponte L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Machis D. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
51', Covea M. ↓, Vegas M. ↑,
51', De Santis J. ↓, Correa W. ↑,
60', Arzu E. ↓, Meza D. ↑,
63', Larotonda C. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
67', Duran J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
67', Castillo E. ↓, Cova M. ↑,
75', Robert Hernandez ↓, Reinoso L. ↑,
75', Gudino I. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
90+3', Reinoso L. 🟨,
90+5', Vegas M. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 0.

Recent performances by Caracas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Carabobo is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.2:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Carabobo	11	5	3	3	12:8	4	18
10	Caracas	11	2	5	4	9:14	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Carabobo - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.1%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Copa Venezuela
18.08.26	Yaracuyanos - Caracas	2:3 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
15.08.26	Universidad Central - Caracas	0:1 ✺
10.08.26	Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Caracas	3:1 ✺
03.08.26	Caracas - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLT
- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
16.08.26	Carabobo - Metropolitanos	1:0 ✺
04.08.26	Carabobo - Trujillanos	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Carabobo	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Carabobo - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Metropolitanos - Carabobo	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
28.02.26	Carabobo - Caracas	0:0
09.11.25	Carabobo - Caracas	2:0
18.10.25	Caracas - Carabobo	0:0
14.09.25	Carabobo - Caracas	1:0
05.04.25	Caracas - Carabobo	0:1
19.10.24	Caracas - Carabobo	0:0
19.04.24	Carabobo - Caracas	1:0

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