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Current Win Probability
Carapinheirense 34.3%
Draw 33.9%
Vitória de Sernache 31.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.5%
28.2%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
22.1%
48.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carapinheirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carapinheirense than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+16.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória de Sernache could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Carapinheirense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Sernache is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Carapinheirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Carapinheirense have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Carapinheirense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.