Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 1

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Tábua (Tábua)


	Oliveira Hospital		Vitória de Sernache

	1	X	2
	1.92	3	3.85
	1.93	2.77	4.33
	1.93	2.90	4.33	Watch
	1.91	2.75	4
	1.89	2.97	4.25
	1.86	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.86)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	4.09 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveira Hospital
47.2%

Draw
30.9%

Vitória de Sernache
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

28.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

26.9%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveira Hospital has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Oliveira Hospital - Vitória de Sernache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Oliveira Hospital is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sernache has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Oliveira Hospital is the team to beat.

We predict that Oliveira Hospital will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveira Hospital won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Oliveira Hospital won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliveira Hospital
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
18.04.26	Oliveira Hospital - Marinhense	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Oliveira Hospital - União da Serra	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Fatima - Oliveira Hospital	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	SB Castelo Branco - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWT
- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
18.04.26	Naval - Vitória de Sernache	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Vitória de Sernache - Mortágua	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Fatima - Vitória de Sernache	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Vitória de Sernache - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Vitória de Sernache - Samora Correia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.03.26	Vitória de Sernache - Oliveira Hospital	0:1
02.11.25	Oliveira Hospital - Vitória de Sernache	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.02.21	Oliveira Hospital - Vitória de Sernache	1:0
20.09.20	Vitória de Sernache - Oliveira Hospital	3:0
05.01.20	Vitória de Sernache - Oliveira Hospital	1:1

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