Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Caravaca		El Palmar

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.28	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.1)	3.28 ↑ (3.23)	3.26 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaca
43.5%

Draw
28.1%

El Palmar
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.2%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

24.9%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

El Palmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caravaca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palmar than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Caravaca - El Palmar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Conejero C. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Morete ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 1 - 2, Dieguito ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caravaca won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Caravaca will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Caravaca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Caravaca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
12.10.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Caravaca	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Caravaca - Unión Molinense	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - Caravaca	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Caravaca - Santomera	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Caravaca - Muleño	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLTW
- EG El Palmar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
12.10.25	El Palmar - Cieza	2:3 ✺
05.10.25	Bala Azul - El Palmar	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	El Palmar - Olímpico de Totana	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Cartagena B - El Palmar	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	El Palmar - Real Murcia B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.01.25	Caravaca - El Palmar	0:0
08.09.24	El Palmar - Caravaca	1:0
14.01.24	Caravaca - El Palmar	0:0
05.03.23	El Palmar - Caravaca	2:1
06.11.22	Caravaca - El Palmar	3:0
23.01.22	Caravaca - El Palmar	1:1

Caravaca - El Palmar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide