Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 36

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Caravaggio		Arconatese

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.55
	2.29	3.22	2.78
	2.29	3.22	2.78
	2.33	3.22	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.52)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	2.71 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaggio
38.9%

Draw
27.9%

Arconatese
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.3%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaggio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Arconatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arconatese than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 🟥,
19', 0 - 1, Quaggio A. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Quaggio A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 6).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Caravaggio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Caravaggio won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Caravaggio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Caravaggio
Italian Serie D - Group B
07.04.24	Clivense - Caravaggio	1:0 ✺
28.03.24	Caravaggio - Casatese	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Folgore Caratese - Caravaggio	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Caravaggio	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Caravaggio - Villa Valle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLLW
- GS Arconatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
28.03.24	Arconatese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:3 ✺
24.03.24	Casatese - Arconatese	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Arconatese - Real Calepina	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Villa Valle - Arconatese	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Arconatese - Castellanzese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
10.12.23	Arconatese - Caravaggio	3:0
13.03.22	Arconatese - Caravaggio	1:1
31.10.21	Caravaggio - Arconatese	0:2
22.12.19	Arconatese - Caravaggio	1:1

Caravaggio - Arconatese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide