Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 32

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Folgore Caratese		Caravaggio

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.04	3.15	3.28
	2.05	3.13	3.28
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.07	3.13	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.15)	3.12 ↑ (3.02)	3.3 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
44.1%

Draw
28.7%

Caravaggio
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

30.2%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

28.7%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Arpino A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Doria A. ⚽,
74', 2 - 1, Barranco B. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Folgore Caratese won 1.

Folgore Caratese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caravaggio is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caravaggio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Folgore Caratese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Folgore Caratese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Folgore Caratese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.03.24	Folgore Caratese - Casatese	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Clivense - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Folgore Caratese - Villa Valle	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Folgore Caratese	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Folgore Caratese - Varesina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTTWW
- USD Caravaggio
Italian Serie D - Group B
20.03.24	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Caravaggio	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Caravaggio - Villa Valle	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Caravaggio - Varesina	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Real Calepina - Caravaggio	0:0 ✺
19.02.24	Caravaggio - Brusaporto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
12.11.23	Caravaggio - Folgore Caratese	3:0
27.03.22	Caravaggio - Folgore Caratese	0:0
07.11.21	Folgore Caratese - Caravaggio	2:1
26.01.20	Folgore Caratese - Caravaggio	0:4
22.09.19	Caravaggio - Folgore Caratese	0:0
20.03.16	Caravaggio - Folgore Caratese	0:3

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