The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arconatese 56%
Draw 25%
Real Calepina 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.9%
24.4%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
23%
16.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arconatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Real Calepina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arconatese than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arconatese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
Recent matches Arconatese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Real Calepina is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Arconatese is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Arconatese won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Arconatese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
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