Match Info

Date: 14 April 2022, Thursday


	Caravaggio		Sangiuliano City Nova

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.35
	2.7	3.4	2.25
	2.44	3.33	2.5
	2.88	3	2.25
	2.54	3.34	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.53)	3.23 ↓ (3.24)	2.38 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaggio
34.1%

Draw
27.9%

Sangiuliano City Nova
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

27.8%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

27.4%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaggio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caravaggio's performance.

Sangiuliano City Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sangiuliano City Nova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caravaggio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sangiuliano City Nova than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sangiuliano City Nova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caravaggio - Sangiuliano City Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Caravaggio is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sangiuliano City Nova is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sangiuliano City Nova is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caravaggio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Caravaggio
Italian Serie D - Group B
10.04.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Caravaggio	4:1 ✺
03.04.22	Caravaggio - Sona	1:1 ✺
30.03.22	Vis Nova Giussano - Caravaggio	1:1 ✺
27.03.22	Caravaggio - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
20.03.22	Desenzano Calvina - Caravaggio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTTL
- Sangiuliano City Nova
Italian Serie D - Group B
09.04.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Olginatese	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Breno - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:0 ✺
30.03.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Crema	4:1 ✺
27.03.22	Legnano - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Castellanzese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
05.12.21	Sangiuliano City Nova - Caravaggio	1:1

Caravaggio - Sangiuliano City Nova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide