Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE CUP

Date: 25 November 2022, Friday


	Cardiff City U21		Reading U21

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.9	2.65
	2.2	4.3	2.35
	1.91	4.31	3.16
	2.05	3.6	2.8
	2.13	3.95	2.65
	2.1	4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.36)	4.01 ↓ (4.5)	2.72 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City U21
43.9%

Draw
22.7%

Reading U21
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

20.2%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

20.1%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff City U21's performance.

Reading U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reading U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City U21 than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cardiff City U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading U21 than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reading U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Cardiff City U21 - Reading U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cardiff U21 will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Reading U21 will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Reading U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cardiff U21 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff U21 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City U21
English Premier League Cup
21.11.22	Sunderland U21 - Cardiff City U21	0:2 ✺
English Professional Development League
14.11.22	Birmingham City U21 - Cardiff City U21	0:2 ✺
10.11.22	Charlton Athletic U21 - Cardiff City U21	2:1 ✺
31.10.22	Millwall U21 - Cardiff City U21	5:0 ✺
25.10.22	Cardiff City U21 - Colchester United U21	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLLW
- Reading U21
English Premier League Cup
11.11.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 - Reading U21	2:1 ✺
English Professional Development League
04.11.22	Ipswich Town U21 - Reading U21	2:7 ✺
31.10.22	Reading U21 - Swansea City U21	0:3 ✺
24.10.22	Charlton Athletic U21 - Reading U21	1:2 ✺
18.10.22	Colchester United U21 - Reading U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Professional Development League
03.10.22	Cardiff City U21 - Reading U21	2:1
English Premier League Cup
26.08.22	Reading U21 - Cardiff City U21	1:0

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