Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE CUP

Date: 21 November 2022, Monday


	Sunderland U21		Cardiff City U21

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.75	2.2
	2.82	3.77	2.22
	2.7	3.6	2.1
	2.64	3.92	2.15
	2.8	3.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.2)	3.76 ↑ (3.75)	2.15 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland U21
33.6%

Draw
24.2%

Cardiff City U21
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

24%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

25.5%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sunderland U21's form might have worsened.

Cardiff City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sunderland U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City U21 than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.1%	9.4%	62.5%

Sunderland U21 - Cardiff City U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Sunderland U21 will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Cardiff U21 will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff U21: 45.7% – 79.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sunderland U21 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cardiff U21 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Cardiff U21 have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland U21
English Premier League Cup
14.11.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 - Sunderland U21	1:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
07.11.22	Sunderland U21 - Southampton U21	1:3 ✺
31.10.22	Newcastle United U21 - Sunderland U21	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Stoke City U21 - Sunderland U21	2:3 ✺
English Premier League Cup
14.10.22	Sunderland U21 - Reading U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTWL
- Cardiff City U21
English Professional Development League
14.11.22	Birmingham City U21 - Cardiff City U21	0:2 ✺
10.11.22	Charlton Athletic U21 - Cardiff City U21	2:1 ✺
31.10.22	Millwall U21 - Cardiff City U21	5:0 ✺
25.10.22	Cardiff City U21 - Colchester United U21	4:1 ✺
18.10.22	Watford U21 - Cardiff City U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLWW

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