Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 5

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Cyncoed Campus (Cardiff)

Referee: Morgan D. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Cardiff Metropolitan		Briton Ferry Llansawel

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	2.70
	2.4	3.2	2.65
	2.42	3.56	2.76
	2.42	3.55	2.72	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.7
	2.41	3.45	2.74
	2.4	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.31)	3.39 ↓ (3.74)	2.7 (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Metropolitan
38.8%

Draw
27.1%

Briton Ferry Llansawel
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

25%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

24.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Briton Ferry Llansawel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Cardiff Metropolitan - Briton Ferry Llansawel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Davies A. (G) 8. Craven C. 14. Dymond-Hall S. 23. Hooper J. 20. John H. 10. Jones S. 16. McKenzie M. 11. Mwandwe L. 9. Payne J. 33. Raison T. 4. Veale J.	1. Wilson R. (G) 20. Anderson O. 2. Bates L. 15. Cooper L. 4. Gammond A. 11. Hurford C. 12. Lloyd J. 7. Owen R. 3. Packer D. 8. Price T. 9. Walters T.
Substitutes
25. Block J. 21. Ford M. 12. Gaughan B. 13. Howard W. (G) 18. Lloyd T. 29. Matthews H.	14. Bowen L. 18. George R. 25. Gilpin D. (G) 22. Herdman L. 17. Jenkins T. 19. Salter L.
Coaches
Jenkins R.	Dyer A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Veale J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Lloyd J. 🟨,
62', 2 - 0, Payne J. ⚽,
67', Lloyd J. ↓, Jenkins T. ↑,
67', Hurford C. ↓, Salter L. ↑,
67', Anderson O. ↓, George R. ↑,
73', 🟨,
77', Walters T. ↓, Bowen L. ↑,
79', 🟨,
81', Salter L. 🟥,
82', John H. ↓, Gaughan B. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Veale J. ⚽,
87', Payne J. ↓, Matthews H. ↑,
89', Mwandwe L. ↓, Ford M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Briton Ferry has had a series of away games.

Cardiff Metropolitan could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff Metropolitan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Briton Ferry: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cardiff Metropolitan	12	6	3	3	23:13	10	21
11	Briton Ferry	12	3	3	6	11:20	-9	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Metropolitan University FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.08.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints	0:5 ✺
15.08.26	Barry Town United - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Airbus UK Broughton - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Holywell Town	6:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Ebbsfleet United - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWT
- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.08.26	Flint Town United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	The New Saints - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Cambrian United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Ammanford	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.26	Merthyr Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
03.04.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Cardiff Metropolitan	3:1
16.03.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:2
16.12.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2
15.08.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1
26.12.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:3
23.08.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:5

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