Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 15

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 6h 2m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Cyncoed Campus (Cardiff) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kenny R. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	12:30	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
Wales	12:30	Cymru Football TV


	Cardiff Metropolitan		Pen-y-Bont

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.20	1.90
	3.60	3.60	1.78
	3.85	3.55	1.96
	3.8	3.57	1.92	Watch
	3.75	3.40	1.87
	3.79	3.34	1.84
	3.50	3.30	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.02)	3.42 ↑ (3.28)	1.89 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cardiff Metropolitan
24.8%

Draw
26.7%

Pen-y-Bont
48.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.1%

27.7%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

27.3%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff Metropolitan's form might have worsened.

Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pen-y-Bont's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pen-y-Bont, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen y Bont Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 1.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Pen-y-Bont is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff Metropolitan has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:28 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cardiff Metropolitan against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 9:16 goals (averaging 1:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Penybont	13	9	3	1	25:11	14	30
8	Cardiff Metropolitan	14	6	4	4	26:18	8	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Metropolitan University FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
23.10.26	Colwyn Bay - Cardiff Metropolitan	2:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
16.10.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Ynyshir Albions	4:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
09.10.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Trefelin	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Llandudno - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:1 ✺
29.09.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Haverfordwest County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLWW
- Pen-y-Bont FC
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.26	Afan Lido - Pen-y-Bont	2:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
09.10.26	Pen-y-Bont - Barry Town United	3:1 ✺
03.10.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Pen-y-Bont	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Pen-y-Bont - Airbus UK Broughton	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Ammanford - Pen-y-Bont	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
13.01.26	Pen-y-Bont - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1
23.09.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen-y-Bont	0:4
14.03.25	Pen-y-Bont - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:0
24.01.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen-y-Bont	2:1
31.12.24	Pen-y-Bont - Cardiff Metropolitan	2:2
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.24	Pen-y-Bont - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:1
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.10.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen-y-Bont	1:1

Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen-y-Bont