Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 10

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Cariñena		Calamocha

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.68
	4.52	3.38	1.68
	4.53	3.38	1.68
	4.45	3.5	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (3.68)	3.42 ↑ (3.17)	1.68 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cariñena
20.2%

Draw
26.3%

Calamocha
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

28.3%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

27.1%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cariñena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Calamocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Calamocha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cariñena than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (-4%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Cariñena has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Calamocha is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Calamocha will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Calamocha to win the game is with odds 1.89.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cariñena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Cariñena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cariñena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
05.11.23	Épila - Cariñena	3:1 ✺
29.10.23	Cariñena - Caspe	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Belchite - Cariñena	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Cariñena - Fraga	0:5 ✺
07.10.23	Ebro - Cariñena	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CF Calamocha
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
05.11.23	Calamocha - Cuarte	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Binéfar - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Calamocha - Huesca B	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Épila - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Calamocha - Caspe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
12.02.23	Calamocha - Cariñena	2:0
16.10.22	Cariñena - Calamocha	1:0
20.02.22	Calamocha - Cariñena	1:1

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