The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cariari Pococí 40.8%
Draw 27.3%
Jicaral 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.5%
27.6%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.1%
28.6%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cariari Pococí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Jicaral has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cariari Pococí than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jicaral than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Cariari Pococí - Jicaral Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
1st leg.
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Cariari has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Jicaral is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Cariari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cariari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Cariari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.