Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Cariari Pococí		Aserrí

	1	X	2
	1.52	4	4.8
	1.39	4.65	5.7
	1.42	4.75	5.63
	1.45	4.72	5.96	Watch
	1.4	4.33	5.75
	1.46	4.9	5.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.56)	4.56 ↑ (3.96)	5.5 ↓ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cariari Pococí
63.4%

Draw
20%

Aserrí
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

23.5%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23.2%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cariari Pococí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Aserrí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cariari Pococí than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aserrí than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Cariari Pococí - Aserrí Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Cariari (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cariari (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 2 - 0, ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cariari won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Aserrí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aserrí has had a series of home games.

In this match, Cariari is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cariari won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cariari won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cariari Pococí
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
16.03.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Cariari Pococí	4:1 ✺
12.03.26	Cariari Pococí - Carmelita	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Santa Ana - Cariari Pococí	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Cariari Pococí - Uruguay de Coronado	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Desamparados - Cariari Pococí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTTW
- Aserrí FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
12.03.26	Desamparados - Aserrí	6:2 ✺
09.03.26	Aserrí - Uruguay de Coronado	1:0 ✺
02.03.26	Pitbulls - Aserrí	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Aserrí - Escorpiones de Belén	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Aserrí - Pitbulls	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
16.11.25	Cariari Pococí - Aserrí	3:0
27.09.25	Aserrí - Cariari Pococí	0:1
02.04.25	Cariari Pococí - Aserrí	2:1
19.02.25	Aserrí - Cariari Pococí	3:1
20.10.24	Aserrí - Cariari Pococí	2:1
04.09.24	Cariari Pococí - Aserrí	2:0
07.04.24	Aserrí - Cariari Pococí	Canceled

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