The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cariari Pococí 45%
Draw 27.4%
Aserrí 27.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.9%
27.2%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
26.6%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cariari Pococí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Aserrí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cariari Pococí than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aserrí than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Cariari Pococí - Aserrí Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cariari won 2.
Cariari is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Aserrí has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Aserrí may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cariari holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Cariari has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:26 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cariari against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:9 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).
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