Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Carl Zeiss Jena		Luckenwalde

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.35	5.3
	1.5	4.39	5.44
	1.48	4.42	5.36
	1.44	4.2	5.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.49)	4.34 ↑ (4.13)	5.51 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carl Zeiss Jena
62.2%

Draw
21.2%

Luckenwalde
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

22.1%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

21.4%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carl Zeiss Jena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Luckenwalde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carl Zeiss Jena than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Carl Zeiss Jena - Luckenwalde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Oduah E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carl Zeiss Jena won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Luckenwalde may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Luckenwalde has had a series of away games.

In this match, Carl Zeiss Jena is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Carl Zeiss Jena won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:4. (average 2:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Carl Zeiss Jena won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:2. (average 2.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Jena	11	6	1	4	19:10	9	19
18	Luckenwalde	11	1	0	10	9:28	-19	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carl Zeiss Jena
German Regionalliga Nordost
01.04.26	Hertha Zehlendorf - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Chemnitzer - Carl Zeiss Jena	4:1 ✺
13.03.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Meuselwitz	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Lokomotive Leipzig - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Altglienicke	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLWT
- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
28.03.26	Preussen - Luckenwalde	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Chemie Leipzig - Luckenwalde	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Luckenwalde - Greifswald	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Altglienicke - Luckenwalde	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Hertha Zehlendorf - Luckenwalde	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
05.10.25	Luckenwalde - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:1
27.04.25	Luckenwalde - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:1
01.11.24	Carl Zeiss Jena - Luckenwalde	2:2
24.02.24	Luckenwalde - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:3
02.09.23	Carl Zeiss Jena - Luckenwalde	3:0
09.04.23	Carl Zeiss Jena - Luckenwalde	3:0
23.10.22	Luckenwalde - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:1

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