Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 22

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday

Location: Ernst Abbe Sportfeld (Jena)

Referee: Lutz D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA
World	Onefootball


	Carl Zeiss Jena		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	4.05	1.46
	5.75	4.15	1.49
	5.92	4.24	1.5	Watch
	5.5	3.7	1.44
	6.13	4.1	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↑ (4.83)	4.05 ↑ (3.75)	1.47 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carl Zeiss Jena
15.7%

Draw
22.4%

RB Leipzig
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

24.8%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

23.9%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carl Zeiss Jena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RB Leipzig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carl Zeiss Jena than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Carl Zeiss Jena - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Janning J. (G) 31. Juckel N. 8. Strasser F. S. 3. Ihlenburg T. (C) 27. Mummert G. 23. Bonsu Kyerewaa A. J. 28. Reske E. 30. Muhlemann E. 7. Reuter M. 17. Tietz R. 9. Alcaide O.	1. Herzog E. (G) 24. Dudek N. 21. Landenberger J. 20. Krug V. 27. Muller M. 13. Starke S. (C) 8. Asgeirsdottir E. 11. Baum L. 16. Schasching A. 14. Schimmer M. 17. Boboy D.
Substitutes
29. Borner H. 13. Etzold H. (G) 25. Gentile N. 5. Haering S. 6. Herrmann N. 24. Jaron I. 10. Julevic M. 19. Lehmann H. 18. Schenk L.	10. Chmielinski G. 4. Grunenberg R. 44. Kropp M. (G) 5. Magerl J. 3. Norheim A. 9. Oteng P. 23. Spitzner K.
Coaches
Kastner F.	Stephan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Baum L. ⚽, Boboy D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Juckel N. ↓, Jaron I. ↑,
59', Strasser F. S. 🟨,
63', Strasser F. S. 🟨,
70', Bonsu Kyerewaa A. J. ↓, Schenk L. ↑,
73', Muhlemann E. 🟨,
75', Tietz R. 🟨,
75', Herzog E. 🟨,
76', Krug V. ↓, Norheim A. ↑,
76', Asgeirsdottir E. ↓, Chmielinski G. ↑,
77', Tietz R. ↓, Borner H. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Jaron I. ⚽,
90+2', Muller M. 🟨,
90+2', Mummert G. ↓, Haering S. ↑,
90+2', Muhlemann E. ↓, Herrmann N. ↑,
90+7', Reuter M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jena won 0.

Jena is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

RB Leipzig is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

RB Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, RB Leipzig is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Jena won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jena won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	RB Leipzig W	6	2	1	3	10:9	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carl Zeiss Jena Women
German Bundesliga Women
22.03.26	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Wolfsburg	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal Women
11.03.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Sand	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
21.02.26	Nürnberg - Carl Zeiss Jena	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWL
- RB Leipzig Women
German Bundesliga Women
22.03.26	RB Leipzig - Freiburg	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	RB Leipzig - Union Berlin	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	SGS Essen - RB Leipzig	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	RB Leipzig - Nürnberg	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Women
06.11.25	RB Leipzig - Carl Zeiss Jena	2:0
Club Friendly Women
29.08.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - RB Leipzig	1:1
German Bundesliga Women
15.03.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - RB Leipzig	1:1
13.10.24	RB Leipzig - Carl Zeiss Jena	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga Women
24.02.23	RB Leipzig - Carl Zeiss Jena	5:1
28.08.22	Carl Zeiss Jena - RB Leipzig	1:2
06.06.21	RB Leipzig - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:2

Carl Zeiss Jena - RB Leipzig: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide