The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Union Berlin 59.2%
Draw 21%
Nürnberg 19.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.8%
21.8%
17.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
15.5%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-16%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union Berlin that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Union Berlin - Nürnberg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Bohi N. (G) 2. Schneider T. 26. Tysiak A. 19. Steuerwald S. (C) 5. Pujols J. 23. Bauereisen N. 41. Kamber L. 32. Hausicke L. 42. Reissner N. 77. Janssens J. 10. Campbell E.
1. Romero L. (G) 17. Bleil M. 4. Lobanova A. 2. Varley L. 19. Homann S. 24. Lein N. (C) 10. Brengel J. 9. Miller L. 11. Meroni L. 15. Papai E. 99. Lapassouse L.
Substitutes
27. Egli L. 6. Grawe L. 11. Orschmann D. 40. Schulz S. (G) 18. Seifert L. 17. Steinert J. 30. Veit J. 9. Weidauer S. 21. Weiss A.
33. Adamczyk R. (G) 77. Barboz M. 21. Bednorz K. 6. Coutel C. 5. Frohlich C. 7. Licina S. 22. Pollak J. 3. Proniez F. 28. Seguin M.
Coaches
Eta M.
Adlani O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
9', Hausicke L. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Campbell E. ⚽, Janssens J. (A),
33', Hausicke L. ↓, Veit J. ↑,
39', 1 - 1, Meroni L. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Bauereisen N. ⚽,
45', Campbell E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Lein N. ↓, Proniez F. ↑,
55', Brengel J. ↓, Coutel C. ↑,
62', Coutel C. 🟨,
65', Papai E. 🟨,
65', Miller L. 🟨,
72', Reissner N. ↓, Weidauer S. ↑,
72', Kamber L. ↓, Grawe L. ↑,
72', Papai E. ↓, Bednorz K. ↑,
83', Lobanova A. ↓, Pollak J. ↑,
83', Miller L. ↓, Licina S. ↑,
87', Pujols J. ↓, Steinert J. ↑,
88', Bauereisen N. ↓, Egli L. ↑,
90+6', Weidauer S. 🟨,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 10th and 13th in the Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women).
Union Berlin has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Nürnberg has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Union Berlin for this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Union Berlin has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Union Berlin against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.