Match Info

Date: 21 September 2021, Tuesday


	Carmarthen Town		Risca United

	1	X	2
	1.68	4	3.75
	1.65	3.9	3.7
	1.66	3.79	4.08
	1.67	4.05	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	3.94 ↓ (4)	3.92 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmarthen Town
54.1%

Draw
22.9%

Risca United
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

22.7%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

18.3%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmarthen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Risca United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carmarthen Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Risca United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Carmarthen Town - Risca United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 12).

Recent matches Carmarthen Town is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Risca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Carmarthen Town have a series of home games.

In this match Carmarthen Town is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
18.09.21	Carmarthen Town - Cambrian United	3:1 ✺
28.08.21	Carmarthen Town - Swansea University	2:0 ✺
24.08.21	Carmarthen Town - Goytre United	1:4 ✺
20.08.21	Llanelli - Carmarthen Town	2:0 ✺
10.08.21	Carmarthen Town - Taffs Well AFC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLT
- Risca United
Welsh Cymru South
18.09.21	Risca United - Swansea University	4:0 ✺
27.08.21	Risca United - Taffs Well AFC	1:1 ✺
24.08.21	Risca United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:5 ✺
21.08.21	Trefelin - Risca United	4:0 ✺
10.08.21	Pontypridd United - Risca United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTLLL

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