Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday


	Carmelita		Desamparados

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.25	2.22	Watch
	2.81	3.4	2.23
	3.26	3.7	2.03	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.72	3.63	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.32)	3.42 ↑ (3.34)	2.2 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmelita
31.7%

Draw
26.8%

Desamparados
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

27.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carmelita's form might have worsened.

Desamparados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Desamparados's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carmelita, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desamparados than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Desamparados, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carmelita - Desamparados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 5)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Desamparados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carmelita won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Carmelita won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
21.03.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Carmelita	3:0 ✺
16.03.26	Carmelita - Pitbulls	1:0 ✺
12.03.26	Cariari Pococí - Carmelita	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Carmelita - Escorpiones de Belén	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Carmelita - Santa Ana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWLWL
- Fútbol Consultants Desamparados
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
21.03.26	Desamparados - Santa Ana	2:1 ✺
12.03.26	Desamparados - Aserrí	6:2 ✺
28.02.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Desamparados	3:1 ✺
25.02.26	Pitbulls - Desamparados	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Desamparados - Cariari Pococí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
18.02.26	Desamparados - Carmelita	3:1
30.10.25	Desamparados - Carmelita	0:1
12.09.25	Carmelita - Desamparados	1:0

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