Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Carmelita		Escorpiones de Belén

	1	X	2
	4.65	3.5	1.65	Watch
	4.76	3.97	1.55
	4.99	3.96	1.62	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.65
	4.65	3.82	1.66	Watch
	3.8	3.33	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (4.43)	3.7 ↓ (3.75)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmelita
19.8%

Draw
24.5%

Escorpiones de Belén
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

24.8%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

24.2%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Escorpiones de Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escorpiones de Belén than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Carmelita - Escorpiones de Belén Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
75', 1 - 0, ⚽,
79', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carmelita won 1.

Carmelita is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Escorpiones is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Escorpiones may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Carmelita has had a series of home games.

In this match, Escorpiones is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Carmelita won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Carmelita won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
25.02.26	Carmelita - Santa Ana	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Desamparados - Carmelita	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Carmelita - Aserrí	2:2 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
11.02.26	Carmelita - Deportivo Saprissa	2:4 ✺
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
07.02.26	Carmelita - Uruguay de Coronado	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Escorpiones de Belén
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
28.02.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Santa Ana	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Aserrí - Escorpiones de Belén	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Desamparados	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Escorpiones de Belén	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Pitbulls	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
19.01.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Carmelita	1:0
08.10.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Carmelita	2:2
22.08.25	Carmelita - Escorpiones de Belén	0:1
22.04.23	Escorpiones de Belén - Carmelita	5:2
14.04.23	Carmelita - Escorpiones de Belén	2:0
18.03.22	Carmelita - Escorpiones de Belén	3:2

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