The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carmelita 37.7%
Draw 27.8%
Santa Ana 34.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
26.7%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
27.1%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carmelita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Santa Ana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (+1%)
Carmelita - Santa Ana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 5th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Carmelita has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:5 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Carmelita against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:4 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Santa Ana - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
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