Match Info

BRAZIL: Sergipano - Round 8

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	IT tv Plus


	Carmópolis		Lagarto

	1	X	2
	6.4	3.9	1.46
	6.34	3.99	1.43
	6.56	4.09	1.45	Watch
	6.59	4.06	1.46
	6.4	3.9	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.46 ↑ (2.75)	3.99 ↑ (2.95)	1.45 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmópolis
14.2%

Draw
22.9%

Lagarto
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

30.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

31.5%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carmópolis's form might have worsened.

Lagarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lagarto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmópolis than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carmópolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (-27.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lagarto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carmópolis - Lagarto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Ronan ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 1 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochester won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Rochester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Rochester have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Rochester won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 70:68 (average 3.5:3.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Rochester won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 37:31 (average 4.1:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Carmópolis
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
15.02.25	Carmópolis - América de Propriá	1:1 ✺
10.02.25	Falcon - Carmópolis	3:2 ✺
03.02.25	Barra SE - Carmópolis	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Carmópolis - Confiança	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Dorense - Carmópolis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLLT
- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
16.02.25	Sergipe - Lagarto	0:4 ✺
08.02.25	Lagarto - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Confiança - Lagarto	4:0 ✺
26.01.25	Lagarto - Dorense	1:1 ✺
23.01.25	Barra SE - Lagarto	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
17.02.24	Lagarto - Carmópolis	2:0

Carmópolis - Lagarto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide