Match Info

BRAZIL: Sergipano - Round 6

Date: 10 February 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	IT tv Plus


	Falcon		Carmópolis

	1	X	2
	1.54	4	4.9
	1.53	4.3	4.25
	1.55	4.2	4.92	Watch
	1.42	4.1	6.25
	1.51	3.8	5.75
	1.54	4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.67)	4.07 ↑ (3.7)	5.16 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falcon
60%

Draw
22.4%

Carmópolis
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

24.7%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falcon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Falcon's performance.

Carmópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmópolis than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Falcon - Carmópolis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Arthur Cacule ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Thierry ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, Sorriso ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Lucas Lopes ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 2, Lucas Lopes ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Falcon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carmópolis has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Falcon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Falcon is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Falcon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Including matches at home between the teams Falcon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falcon FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
01.02.25	Itabaiana - Falcon	4:0 ✺
25.01.25	Sergipe - Falcon	0:1 ✺
20.01.25	Falcon - Barra SE	4:0 ✺
16.01.25	Falcon - Confiança	1:3 ✺
11.01.25	Dorense - Falcon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWLW
- AD Carmópolis
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
03.02.25	Barra SE - Carmópolis	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Carmópolis - Confiança	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Dorense - Carmópolis	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Carmópolis - Sergipe	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Itabaiana - Carmópolis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
02.03.24	Falcon - Carmópolis	0:0

Falcon - Carmópolis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide