The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crown Legacy 50.6%
Draw 22.5%
Chicago Fire II 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.2%
23.9%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
22.9%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crown Legacy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crown Legacy than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Crown Legacy - Chicago Fire II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Walker I. (G) 39. Neeley J. 63. Holt W. 34. Johnson A. 43. Sangoquiza W. 60. Subotic A. 20. Coulibaly B. 58. Longo D. 71. Richmond N. 83. Mbongue H. 91. Smalls M.
60. Nemo J. (G) 76. Napoe M. 30. Sandmeyer J. 66. Nagle C. 55. Nigg D. 48. Fleming R. 65. Pineda O. 58. Williams B. 28. Boltz D. 37. Turdean R. 68. Glyut V.
Substitutes
77. Barnett T. 32. Blama B. 86. Brown D. 89. Mendoza A. 41. Romero B. 45. Smith J. 24. Thomas M. 79. Ventura S. 31. Wickham J. A. (G)
61. Bernhardt H. 54. Chavez E. 45. Clark M. 41. Diawara T. 78. Gongadze G. (G) 34. Gonzalez O. 49. Montiel J. 72. Villanueva D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
30', Williams B. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Johnson A. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Richmond N. ⚽, Subotic A. (A),
43', Glyut V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Glyut V. ↓, Diawara T. ↑,
58', Subotic A. ↓, Mendoza A. ↑,
60', Boltz D. ↓, Villanueva D. ↑,
62', Nigg D. 🟥,
68', Turdean R. ↓, Montiel J. ↑,
69', Williams B. ↓, Bernhardt H. ↑,
70', Smalls M. ↓, Barnett T. ↑,
70', Longo D. ↓, Ventura S. ↑,
73', Coulibaly B. 🟨,
74', Richmond N. 🟨,
84', Ventura S. 🟨,
85', Mbongue H. ↓, Blama B. ↑,
86', Bernhardt H. 🟨,
90+3', Sandmeyer J. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Blama B. ⚽, Ventura S. (A),
90+7', 4 - 0, Mendoza A. ⚽, Coulibaly B. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
Crown Legacy is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crown Legacy won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Crown Legacy is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Crown Legacy won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Crown Legacy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 4:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Chicago Fire II - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.92%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.