Match Info

Date: 2 February 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Caronnese		Ticino

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Caronnese
38.8%

Draw
30.4%

Ticino
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.6%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

20.1%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caronnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caronnese's form might have worsened.

Ticino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caronnese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ticino than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ticino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 13).

Caronnese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ticino is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caronnese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group A
30.01.22	Unione Sanremo - Caronnese	0:0 ✺
23.01.22	Bra - Caronnese	0:0 ✺
19.01.22	Varese - Caronnese	2:0 ✺
22.12.21	Caronnese - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Caronnese - Imperia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTLTL
- RG Ticino
Italian Serie D - Group A
29.01.22	Ticino - Casale	2:1 ✺
23.01.22	Ticino - Unione Sanremo	3:1 ✺
22.12.21	Vado - Ticino	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Ticino - Bra	0:1 ✺
08.12.21	Sestri Levante - Ticino	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWLLW

Caronnese - Ticino