The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caronnese 35.4%
Draw 29.1%
Villa Valle 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
28.1%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
29.8%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caronnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Villa Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs)).
Recent matches Caronnese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Villa Valle is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.