Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday


	Real Calepina		Caronnese

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.12	3.2	3.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.12)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	3.09 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Calepina
42.6%

Draw
28.3%

Caronnese
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27.4%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Caronnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Real Calepina - Caronnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Recent matches Real Calepina is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caronnese is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Calepina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
16.10.22	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Real Calepina	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Real Calepina - Brusaporto	0:3 ✺
02.10.22	Varese - Real Calepina	0:2 ✺
28.09.22	Real Calepina - Villa Valle	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Arconatese - Real Calepina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLWTL
- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
16.10.22	Caronnese - Desenzano Calvina	2:0 ✺
09.10.22	Seregno - Caronnese	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Caronnese - Varesina	0:0 ✺
28.09.22	Alcione - Caronnese	4:0 ✺
11.09.22	Franciacorta - Caronnese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTLL

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