The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Calepina 39.5%
Draw 29.2%
Villa Valle 31.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.2%
29.6%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
30.3%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Calepina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Villa Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Real Calepina - Villa Valle Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
66', 0 - 1, ⚽,
76', 0 - 2, ⚽,
84', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Calepina won 0.
Real Calepina is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Villa Valle has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Real Calepina has recorded 1 win, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:17 (averaging 0.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real Calepina against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:6 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).
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