Match Info

Date: 4 March 2020, Wednesday


	Cartagena		Atlético Cali

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.25
	3	3	2.3
	2.9	3.3	2.2
	3.08	3.13	2.19
	3.15	3.43	2.22
	3.1	3.25	2.2
	3.24	3.16	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (1.86)	3.18 ↓ (3.33)	2.22 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
29.9%

Draw
28.8%

Atlético Cali
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

21.5%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cartagena's form might have worsened.

Atlético Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Cali's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+33%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Cali than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Cali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.7%	0%	87.3%

Cartagena - Atlético Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 7 - 12.7%). Atlético Cali will win (votes: 48 - 87.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Cali: 78.5% – 96.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
01.03.20	Llaneros de Guanare - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.03.20	Cartagena - Marbella	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
23.02.20	Cartagena - Valledupar	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.02.20	Algeciras - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
20.02.20	Atlético Cali - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLTW
- Atlético Cali FC
Colombian Primera B
27.02.20	Atlético Cali - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
24.02.20	Bogotá - Atlético Cali	1:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
20.02.20	Atlético Cali - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
16.02.20	Atlético Cali - Real San Andrés	0:3 ✺
09.02.20	Cartagena - Atlético Cali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
20.02.20	Atlético Cali - Cartagena	1:2
Colombian Primera B
09.02.20	Cartagena - Atlético Cali	2:1
11.08.19	Cartagena - Atlético Cali	1:0
21.02.19	Atlético Cali - Cartagena	0:3
12.08.18	Cartagena - Atlético Cali	3:1
04.03.18	Atlético Cali - Cartagena	2:0
26.08.17	Atlético Cali - Cartagena	2:1

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