Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 1d 17h 📅 Remind Me


	Real Madrid Castilla		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.50	3.25
	1.95	3.40	3.10
	1.96	3.20	3.30
	1.99	3.60	3.34
	2.03	3.57	3.29	Watch
	1.95	3.45	3.25
	1.95	3.42	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.08)	3.45 ↓ (3.52)	3.27 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
46.1%

Draw
26.2%

Cartagena
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

26.4%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

26.7%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Real Madrid Castilla - Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 5th in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).

In recent outings, Real Madrid Castilla has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cartagena shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Cartagena could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Real Madrid Castilla holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid Castilla has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Madrid Castilla against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Cartagena SAD	9	4	3	2	14:9	5	15
12	Real Madrid B	9	3	3	3	11:11	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid Castilla - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.67%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.10.26	Algeciras - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0 ✺
18.10.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Antequera	3:2 ✺
09.10.26	Ibiza - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
02.10.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Madrid B	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTWL
- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.10.26	Villarreal B - Cartagena	4:1 ✺
16.10.26	Cartagena - CE Europa	3:0 ✺
11.10.26	Antequera - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
07.10.26	Cartagena - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Cartagena - Águilas	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
02.06.19	Cartagena - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0
25.05.19	Real Madrid Castilla - Cartagena	3:1

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