Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)


	Cartagena		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.1	5
	1.88	3	3.8
	1.78	3.05	4.85
	1.81	3.05	5.51
	1.89	2.65	5.93	Watch
	1.79	3.08	5.06
	1.92	3	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.95)	2.99 ↓ (3.05)	4.9 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
50.4%

Draw
30.8%

Tarazona
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

30%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28.8%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Cartagena - Tarazona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cartagena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Cartagena (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cartagena (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez I. (G) 2. Jurado M. 4. Serrano R. 5. Baz I. 22. Martinez N. 8. De Blasis P. 14. Alcaniz E. 16. Martin A. 11. Redondo L. 17. Sanchez K. 19. Chiki	13. Amigo (G) 2. Lopez A. 5. Traore B. 4. Trilles M. 21. Nieto C. 3. Martinez Chechu 23. Rodriguez D. 6. Carrasco O. 22. Vaquero 10. Aguero 19. Armero S.
Substitutes
7. Calderon C. 21. Chuca 6. Fidalgo A. 13. Garcia L. (G) 20. Gomez D. 3. Jimenez N. 9. Ortuno A. 18. Perejon D. 30. Reyes J. (G) 27. Rubio L. N. 23. Sanchez N.	15. Alonso I. 14. Borge A. 9. Cubillas D. 27. Fita A. 11. Gomez J. 1. Josele (G) 8. Ramon A. 7. Soto D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Alcaniz E. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Sanchez K. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Chiki ⚽,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Traore B. ↓, Borge A. ↑,
60', Alcaniz E. ↓, Fidalgo A. ↑,
60', Martin A. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
63', Aguero ↓, Soto D. ↑,
63', Armero S. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
71', Sanchez K. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
71', Chiki ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Ortuno A. ⚽,
79', Carrasco O. 🟨,
80', Martinez N. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
82', Carrasco O. ↓, Ramon A. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cartagena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cartagena is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.09.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
24.09.25	Sabadell - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Cartagena - Hércules	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Cartagena - Atlético Madrid B	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Antequera - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTWWT
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.09.25	Sevilla B - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tarazona - Marbella	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Tarazona - Antequera	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Hércules - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTLWL

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