Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Maulí (Antequera) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Alonso A. T. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	12:00	Footballclub


	Antequera		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.10	3.80
	2.05	3.20	3.20
	2.00	3.20	3.50
	2.06	3.36	3.49
	2.45	3.14	2.92	Watch
	2.03	3.30	3.35
	1.98	3.23	3.95
	1.99	3.20	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.32)	3.22 ↑ (3.13)	3.46 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antequera
44.8%

Draw
28.6%

Cartagena
26.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

29.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

29.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antequera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antequera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Antequera - Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Alcover D. (G) 2. Anton J. 6. Quintana A. 4. Perez I. 22. Cuenca D. 19. Bassele M. 18. Mangada C. 11. Parra M. 10. Luismi Gutierrez (C) 16. Gene A. 7. Ilahude D.	13. Garcia L. (C) 2. Jurado M. 4. Serrano R. 24. Lohr L. 19. Corral A. 15. Jules J. 6. Claveria P. 20. Richarte R. 10. Ribeiro I. 17. Dacosta R. 9. Ribeiro
Substitutes
14. Aguero 24. Alarcon R. 29. Almagro S. 20. Aspra J. 8. Diz Acena R. 23. Dominguez I. 21. Hadeed D. 1. Perez Morillo F. (G) 17. Zarzana A.	31. Abellan I. 5. Baz I. 8. De Blasis P. 22. Martinez N. 16. Moreno M. 18. Perejon D. 11. Ramirez B. 1. Reyes J. (G) 14. Villa T.
Coaches
Paz A.	Velez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Gene A. ⚽, Parra M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ribeiro I. ↓, Villa T. ↑,
46', Jurado M. ↓, Perejon D. ↑,
49', Anton J. 🟨,
52', Dacosta R. ↓, Martinez N. ↑,
60', Parra M. ↓, Dominguez I. ↑,
60', Gene A. ↓, Zarzana A. ↑,
69', Ribeiro ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Martinez N. ⚽,
74', Bassele M. ↓, Aguero ↑,
74', Anton J. ↓, Alarcon R. ↑,
75', Perez I. 🟨,
76', Richarte R. ↓, De Blasis P. ↑,
79', Mangada C. ↓, Aspra J. ↑,
90+2', Perejon D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th and 5th in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Antequera has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1 (averaging 0:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Antequera against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Cartagena SAD	9	4	3	2	14:9	5	15
13	Antequera	9	2	5	2	14:13	1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Cartagena - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.33%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.10.26	Sant Andreu - Antequera	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	Antequera - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Villarreal B - Antequera	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Antequera - Alcorcón	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Zaragoza - Antequera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTTL
- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.10.26	Cartagena - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Cartagena - Águilas	4:1 ✺
20.09.26	Zaragoza - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Cartagena - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.04.26	Cartagena - Antequera	1:0
31.08.25	Antequera - Cartagena	0:0

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